LinkedIn · 2026
Reading the likely endgame.
Despite the strong statements and dramatic headlines, the most likely outcome is controlled de-escalation.
Summary
Patient diplomacy.
Geopolitical crises often follow a familiar pattern: loud speeches, serious warnings and endless debate, and then quiet diplomacy behind closed doors.
Countries such as Oman, Qatar, France and, increasingly, India often act as mediators because they keep talking to both sides.
- Military tensions slowly reduce
- The Strait of Hormuz stays open
- Rivalry continues, but without full-scale war
As the Chairman writes, wars rarely end with dramatic victories. They usually end with patient diplomacy and practical compromise.